Markets sink over 1% as West Asia conflict jolts sentiment

Equities closed sharply lower on Monday after a steep gap-down start triggered by escalating geopolitical tensions in West Asia, with benchmark indices posting their biggest single-day fall in weeks before recovering partially in late trade.

The BSE Sensex settled at 80,238.85, down 1,048.34 points or 1.29 per cent from its previous close of 81,287.19 after opening at 78,543.73. The NSE Nifty 50 ended at 24,865.70, declining 312.95 points or 1.24 per cent after touching an intraday low near 24,600. Market breadth remained decisively negative, with 3,641 stocks declining against 754 advances on the BSE, while 869 stocks hit 52-week lows.

Broad-Based Selloff

Selling pressure was broad-based across sectors, with Nifty Midcap 100 falling 1.58 per cent, Nifty Smallcap 100 dropping 1.75 per cent, Nifty Bank declining 1.14 per cent to 59,839.65, and Nifty Financial Services slipping 1.10 per cent. Nifty Next 50 fell 1.52 per cent.

Selective Gainers

Among Nifty gainers, Bharat Electronics rose 2.13 per cent to ₹454.15, Hindalco Industries gained 1.70 per cent to ₹940.45, Sun Pharmaceutical Industries advanced 0.93 per cent to ₹1,753.20, Oil and Natural Gas Corporation added 0.63 per cent to ₹281.45, and ITC Limited edged up 0.35 per cent to ₹314.70.

Heavyweight Losers

On the losing side, InterGlobe Aviation fell 6.09 per cent to ₹4,533.00, Larsen & Toubro declined 5.24 per cent to ₹4,054.00, Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone dropped 3.43 per cent to ₹1,468.90, Maruti Suzuki India slipped 3.29 per cent to ₹14,368.00, and Asian Paints lost 3.08 per cent to ₹2,303.00.

Volatility Surges

Volatility spiked sharply during the session, with India VIX rising more than 20 per cent, reflecting heightened risk aversion. Analysts linked the selloff to geopolitical escalation and surging crude prices. Vinod Nair of Geojit Investments Limited said, “Rising geopolitical tensions in the West Asia have unsettled global markets… rising crude oil prices and a weakening INR reflect concerns over potential disruptions to oil supply… investors are rotating toward traditional safe-haven assets and adopting a cautious stance.”



Crude Oil Impact

Brent crude surged by roughly 6–10 per cent amid fears of supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, amplifying inflationary concerns for India. The rupee weakened against the US dollar as risk-off sentiment intensified and foreign institutional investor selling accelerated.

Technical Outlook

According to Ponmudi R of Enrich Money, “The early gap-down reflected heightened risk aversion… selective value buying emerged at lower levels, enabling benchmark indices to trim a portion of their intraday losses… sentiment remains anchored to developments in energy markets and geopolitical headlines.”

Technically, analysts said the Nifty remains under bearish pressure below 25,000, with resistance concentrated around 24,900–25,000 and support near 24,700–24,500. Bank Nifty remained below the key 60,000 mark despite recovering from intraday lows, indicating a neutral-to-bearish bias.

Caution Ahead

Market participants also remained cautious ahead of the Holi holiday and amid derivatives positioning. Analysts noted that weakness extended beyond frontline indices, reflecting widespread risk reduction rather than sector-specific selling.

Going ahead, market direction is expected to remain tied to crude oil movements, geopolitical developments and global risk sentiment. Analysts indicated that sustained trade below 24,800 on Nifty could trigger further downside, while stability in energy prices may support a technical rebound in the near term.

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