Iran pause sparks Nifty’s biggest single-day rebound in weeks

Benchmark indices staged a sharp relief rally on Tuesday, with the surging 399.75 points or 1.78 per cent to close at 22,912.40 and the climbing 1,372.06 points or 1.89 per cent to settle at 74,068.45 — a day after one of the market’s most punishing selloffs in recent memory.

The catalyst was US President Donald Trump’s announcement of a five-day pause on strikes targeting Iranian energy infrastructure, which triggered a swift unwinding of geopolitical risk premiums across global markets.

Crude oil prices fell more than 11 per cent following the announcement, providing immediate relief to import-dependent economies like India.

However, the recovery remained fragile. Iran denied any negotiations were underway, and fresh strikes were reported across Gulf regions, keeping energy markets on edge.

Brent crude subsequently rebounded around 2.4 per cent, while natural gas extended its gains, underscoring that supply-side risks remain far from resolved.

The session was volatile. Nifty swung between an intraday low of 22,624.20 and a high of 23,057.30 before closing below the critical 23,000 mark.



Sudeep Shah, Head of Technical and Derivatives Research at SBI Securities, noted that the index formed “a small-bodied candlestick with shadows on both the upper and lower sides,” adding that the candle structure “reflects uncertainty among market participants and highlights a phase of indecision after recent volatility.”

He flagged the 23,030–23,060 zone as an immediate hurdle, with a sustained move above 23,060 required to extend the pullback toward 23,200. Support is seen at 22,750–22,700.

Bank Nifty closed at 52,605, up 2.27 per cent, but also failed to hold above 52,900. Shah pointed to the 53,000–53,100 band as immediate resistance, with 52,200–52,100 as a crucial support zone.

The broader market outperformed the benchmarks. Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 each rose over 2.6 per cent, and market breadth turned decisively positive, with 2,968 advances against 1,295 declines on BSE.

Of the 4,431 stocks traded, 456 within the Nifty 500 universe closed in positive territory. The BSE advance-decline ratio rose to 2.27. Forty-four stocks hit 52-week highs, while 557 touched 52-week lows.

Sectorally, the rally was broad-based with all indices closing in the green. Nifty Media, Private Banks, and Auto were the top sectoral gainers. IndiGo surged 5.5 per cent, L&T rose 5.2 per cent, and Bajaj Finance gained 5.0 per cent. Coal India fell 3.0 per cent, while Power Grid and Adani Enterprises declined 1.4 per cent and 0.4 per cent, respectively.

India VIX eased toward the 25 mark from near-27 levels seen in the prior session. Hariprasad K, SEBI-registered Research Analyst and Founder at Livelong Wealth, characterised the move as “a relief bounce rather than a confirmed trend reversal,” cautioning that “conviction at higher levels is still limited” unless backed by stronger triggers.

On the currency front, the rupee remained under pressure. Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst at LKP Securities, said the rupee “traded weak near 93.90, down 0.36 per cent, as persistent West Asia tensions and rising crude prices continue to weigh on sentiment,” and expects it to “trade in a weak range of 93.25–94.25, with downside bias likely to persist until clear progress in Iran peace talks emerges.”

Gold recovered from a weak opening near ₹1,36,500 to around ₹1,40,000, driven by short covering, but Trivedi noted the “upside remains capped as the broader macro environment is still not supportive,” with resistance at ₹1,42,000 and support at ₹1,35,000.

Looking ahead, Vishal Goraddia, Fund Manager at Aikyam Capital Group, cautioned that “this should be seen as a reprieve rather than a structural shift,” adding that “softer oil prices and improving risk appetite create a supportive near-term window for India,” but “the underlying geopolitical situation remains fluid, and volatility is likely to persist.”

Source

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

4 × 1 =