Commodity call. Copper: Near-term outlook is unclear

prices are managing to stay afloat. The Copper Futures Contract traded on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) has bounced back in the past week from its low around ₹993 per kg. However, this bounce back move seems to lack strength. The contract is currently trading at ₹1,008 per kg.

Outlook

The near-term outlook for the MCX Copper Futures contract is unclear. The recent price action is not indicating whether this is just a consolidation within the broad uptrend or a top formation.

Immediate support is at ₹1,000. Below that, ₹985 is the next strong support. Resistance is around ₹1,030. A breakout on either side of ₹985-₹1,030 will give clarity on the next direction of move.

A decisive break below ₹985 will be bearish. It will indicate a top in place and a bearish trend reversal. That will then drag the MCX Copper Futures contract down to ₹960.

On the other hand, if the contract manages to sustain above ₹985, a sideways consolidation between ₹985 and ₹1,030 is a possibility for some time. An eventual break above ₹1,030 will keep the broader uptrend intact. Such a break will clear the way for a rally to ₹1,070 and higher.

Trade Strategy

Since the direction of move is unclear, it is better to stay out of the market. Wait for a breakout on either side of ₹985 or ₹1,030 and take trades accordingly.



Source

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