India’s two biggest private sector banks have reported their March quarter results, but the market reaction has been very different. ICICI Bank shares rose after earnings, while HDFC Bank slipped. That has left many investors asking a simple question: after Q4 results, which bank stock looks like the better buy now?
Both lenders reported healthy profits in the January-March quarter. , up around 9% from a year ago. ICICI Bank reported a net profit of Rs 13,702 crore, up 8.5%. On the surface, both delivered steady earnings growth.
But markets usually care more about future growth than past profit.
That is where . Its loan book grew 15.8% year-on-year, faster than HDFC Bank’s 12.1%. Stronger lending growth is important because it can support future earnings expansion. ICICI Bank also reported healthy deposit growth and improving asset quality, which reassured investors.
Brokerages were upbeat on ICICI Bank’s quarter. JM Financial called it a “picture-perfect quarter” and retained the stock as its top pick in the sector, citing strong loan growth, better margin management and healthy asset quality.
Motilal Oswal described ICICI Bank’s performance as “strong all-round”, saying the lender remains well placed because of steady growth, resilient profitability and controlled bad-loan costs.
HDFC Bank’s quarter, by contrast, was seen more as stable than aggressive. Deposits grew 14.4%, faster than loans, helping improve balance-sheet comfort after the HDFC merger. Asset quality also improved, with lower bad loans and contained provisions.
However, some brokerages pointed to slower core income growth and a cautious lending outlook. JM Financial said HDFC Bank’s operating trends were mixed, even though asset quality remained robust.
Equirus said HDFC Bank has moved “from constraint to comfort”, meaning earlier balance-sheet pressures are easing. But it also noted that future earnings may depend more on improving efficiency than rapid loan growth.
Dividends add another important angle for retail investors.
HDFC Bank announced a final dividend of Rs 13 per share for FY26. Along with an earlier special dividend of Rs 5.50 per share, its total payout for FY26 stands at Rs 18.50 per share. ICICI Bank announced a dividend of Rs 12 per share, up from Rs 11 last year.
That means HDFC Bank currently offers the stronger shareholder payout story, while ICICI Bank offers stronger growth momentum. For investors who value regular income, HDFC Bank may stand out more. For those chasing earnings growth and price performance, ICICI Bank may look more attractive.
Valuation is another factor. Several analysts believe HDFC Bank’s stock price already reflects many of its post-merger concerns, which could make it appealing for patient long-term investors. ICICI Bank, meanwhile, continues to attract premium valuations because of stronger execution and consistent growth.
So, which is the better buy now?
For near-term momentum and growth, ICICI Bank appears ahead after Q4. Faster loan growth, positive brokerage commentary and a stronger market reaction all support that view.
For long-term investors focused on dividends, value and stability, HDFC Bank remains a serious contender.
The simple takeaway: ICICI Bank looks like the stronger immediate play after earnings, while HDFC Bank may suit investors willing to wait for a slower but steadier re-rating story.
(Disclaimer: The views, opinions, recommendations, and suggestions expressed by experts/brokerages in this article are their own and do not reflect the views of the India Today Group. It is advisable to consult a qualified broker or financial advisor before making any actual investment or trading choices.)