India’s forex reserves hit three-month peak, see biggest weekly rise in six months

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India’s foreign exchange reserves rose to a near three-month high of $692.9 ​billion as of July 31,
data from the Reserve ‌Bank of India showed on Wednesday.

Reserves jumped ​nearly $10.5 billion compared to the
previous ⁠week, in their biggest surge since the week ended
January 30.

A larger pile of foreign exchange reserves gives the ‌central
bank greater capacity to defend the rupee, which has been hit by
oil price ‌volatility generated by the U.S.-Israeli war ‌with
Iran, ⁠clouding India’s macroeconomic outlook.

Traders said the sharp ⁠increase in the size of reserves can
be attributed to dollar inflows from a foreign-currency deposit
drive launched by the ​RBI in June to ‌bolster the country’s
balance of payments. The RBI has received $36.7 billion via
Foreign Currency Non-Resident deposits raised by banks through
July 31.

“As flows from the ‌FCNR scheme have gained pace, we ​expect
the headline FX reserve figure to cross $700 billion in coming
weeks, and it will ⁠also help the RBI to reduce its short FX
book,” said Dhaval Shah, founder and managing director, ‌De-Risk
Forex Consultancy.

“The bigger picture will continue to favor rupee
appreciation.”



Lenders are permitted to swap these foreign currency
deposits with the central bank under a zero-cost hedging
facility open until the end of September.

“India’s foreign exchange reserves continue to be ‌adequate
in terms of the standard metrics of reserve adequacy with ​import
cover of over 10 months and external debt cover of 90.8%,” RBI
Governor ⁠Sanjay Malhotra said while delivering his monetary
policy address in ⁠Mumbai.

The RBI maintained status quo on rates on Wednesday, in line
with expectations.

In the ‌week to which the data pertains, the rupee
jumped 1.2% to 95.38 per dollar, its ​biggest weekly jump in four
months.

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